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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
ALFRETON TOWN vs. HEREFORD
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.
A historical comparison of Alfreton Town's and Hereford's ELO scores.
| Alfreton Town | Hereford | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 3197.1 | 3083.4 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3387 Tuesday, March 18, 2014 |
3777.9 Saturday, September 4, 1976 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 2989.8 Saturday, August 21, 2021 |
2756.8 Friday, December 26, 2014 |
A summary of all historical matches between Alfreton Town and Hereford.
| Venue | Played | Alfreton Town wins |
Draws | Hereford wins |
Alfreton Town goals |
Hereford goals |
Alfreton Town SR% |
Hereford SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 23 | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| HOME | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 64.3% | 35.7% |
| AWAY | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 MAR 2024 | CONF | Hereford (3089) |
3 - 3 | Alfreton Town (3160) |
1 |
| 24 OCT 2023 | CONF | Alfreton Town (3129) |
3 - 1 | Hereford (3052) |
10.3 |
| 11 FEB 2023 | CONF | Hereford (3078) |
0 - 0 | Alfreton Town (3127) |
0.3 |
| 3 SEP 2022 | CONF | Alfreton Town (3120) |
1 - 1 | Hereford (3079) |
2.2 |
| 2 APR 2022 | CONF | Hereford (3122) |
1 - 2 | Alfreton Town (3026) |
13.7 |
| 23 OCT 2021 | CONF | Alfreton Town (3047) |
3 - 3 | Hereford (3071) |
0.4 |
| 1 FEB 2020 | CONF | Alfreton Town (3065) |
2 - 0 | Hereford (3046) |
12.5 |
| 12 NOV 2019 | CONF | Hereford (3110) |
1 - 2 | Alfreton Town (3073) |
12.2 |
| 9 APR 2019 | CONF | Alfreton Town (3077) |
1 - 1 | Hereford (3117) |
0 |
| 1 DEC 2018 | CONF | Hereford (3037) |
2 - 1 | Alfreton Town (3062) |
9.5 |
| 21 APR 2014 | CONF | Hereford United (3262) |
3 - 2 | Alfreton Town (3341) |
11.1 |
| 26 AUG 2013 | CONF | Alfreton Town (3339) |
2 - 1 | Hereford United (3423) |
11.2 |
| 12 JAN 2013 | CONF | Hereford United (3407) |
3 - 3 | Alfreton Town (3312) |
3.8 |
| 18 AUG 2012 | CONF | Alfreton Town (3301) |
0 - 3 | Hereford United (3453) |
12.1 |